predictions and parties (not the fun kind)

Oh my god, the UK general election is TODAY! Oh, I have to make sure to watch it. It will be so gripping and compelling; I almost can’t breathe, that’s how excited I am!

No, that’s not the truth.

See, it’s not as if I don’t care at all about politics. I mean, that’s a lot of what we focus on in this English class, not to mention I have Politics and Human Rights as well. If I thought politics was the single most boring thing in the world, I don’t know how I would have survived having it for 9-10 hours every single week. So. I do care. To some degree.

I have paid some attention, of course. I know the biggest British parties, I know the more controversial British parties and I know what has been predicted. Most of the predictions are pretty similar; the Conservatives are thought to have a slight decrease in their number of seats. From 302 (their current number) to around 270-280. Labour is thought to have an increase from 256 to around 260-270, thereby making the competition neck-in-neck. The most controversial of the lot, UKIP, is thought to either decrease from two seats to one, or maybe increase to three (for such a tiny party, they surely do irritate a lot of people).

Well. UKIP is actually one of the bigger parties when it comes to percentage of supporters; it’s the system that relegates them to the second largest party in a lot of places. The one guaranteed seat for UKIP is thought to be Douglas Carswell’s, according to the London School of Economics.

It is also thought that the two largest parties will experience a lack of votes from one third of the voters; they will vote for parties smaller than the big two. The most interesting part is; David Cameron could possibly lose his position as Prime Minister. If so he’ll have to give the crown to Ed Miliband, the Leader of the Labour Party. Cameron has been the British Prime Minister since 2010 and I feel he’ll probably want to hold on to the title. I think he could manage it. We can only wait and see.

SOURCES

Dette er den viktigste grafen for å forstå det britiske valget

Election 2015: The Guardian Poll Projection

Election Forecast

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